Iindaba

Ingcali yezemalike ithe isibonakaliso esivela kwiFederal Reserve sokuba amazinga enzala aza kuncitshiswa ngo-2024 sidale umfutho olungileyo kwimarike yegolide, nto leyo eya kukhokelela ekubeni amaxabiso egolide afikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu kwimbali kunyaka omtsha.
UGeorge Milling Stanley, iNgcali yeGolide eyintloko kwiDow Jones Global Investment Consulting, uthe nangona amaxabiso egolide enyuke kakhulu kutshanje, kusekho indawo enkulu yokukhula kwemarike.
Uthe, “Xa igolide ifumana amandla, akukho mntu waziyo ukuba iza kunyuka kangakanani, kwaye kunyaka ozayo kusenokwenzeka ukuba sibone ukuphakama kwembali.”
Nangona uMilling Stanley enethemba ngegolide, wongeze ngelithi akalindelanga ukuba amaxabiso egolide aphumelele kwixesha elifutshane. Ubonise ukuba nangona iFederal Reserve inethemba lokunciphisa amazinga enzala kunyaka ozayo, umbuzo usasele ukuba uza kuyenza nini loo nto. Wongeze ngelithi kwixesha elifutshane, imiba yexesha kufuneka igcine amaxabiso egolide ngaphakathi koluhlu lwangoku.
Kwingxelo kaDow Jones esemthethweni, iqela likaMilling Stanley likholelwa ukuba kukho ithuba elingama-50% lokurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-$1950 kunye ne-$2200 nge-ounce kunyaka ozayo. Kwangaxeshanye, inkampani ikholelwa ukuba amathuba okurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-$2200 kunye ne-$2400 nge-ounce yi-30%. UDao Fu ukholelwa ukuba amathuba okurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-$1800 kunye ne-$1950 nge-ounce yi-20% kuphela.
UMilling Stanley uthe impilo yezoqoqosho iya kugqiba ukuba ixabiso legolide liza kunyuka kangakanani.
Uthe, “Ndivakalelwa kukuba siza kudlula kwixesha lokukhula ngaphantsi komkhwa, mhlawumbi ukudodobala koqoqosho. Kodwa kunye nalo, ngokwemilinganiselo ekhethwa yiFed, kusenokubakho ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okunamathelayo. Oku kuya kuba yindawo elungileyo yegolide.” “Ukuba kukho ukudodobala koqoqosho okukhulu, ke izizathu zethu zokudlondlobala ziya kusebenza.”
Nangona kulindeleke ukuba amandla egolide anyukayo aza kutsala abatyali-mali abatsha abanobuchule, uMilling Stanley uthe inkxaso yexesha elide yegolide ibonisa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso egolide kuza kuqhubeka ngo-2024.
Uthe ezi ngxabano zimbini ziqhubekayo ziya kugcina indawo ekhuselekileyo yokuthenga igolide. Wongeze ngelithi unyaka wonyulo ongaqinisekanga nombi uya kwandisa ukuthandwa kwegolide kwindawo ekhuselekileyo. Ukwathe imfuno ekhulayo evela eIndiya nakwezinye iimarike ezisakhulayo iya kubonelela ngenkxaso yegolide ebonakalayo.
Ukuthengwa kwegolide ngakumbi ziibhanki eziphambili zamazwe ahlukeneyo kuya kuyenza mandundu indlela entsha yokutshintsha kwemarike.
Uthe, “Kuyavakala ukufumana inzuzo xa amaxabiso egolide edlula i-$2000 nge-ounce kwiminyaka emihlanu edlulileyo, kwaye ndicinga ukuba yiyo loo nto amaxabiso egolide ngamanye amaxesha ehla ngaphantsi kwe-$2000 kunyaka ozayo. Kodwa ngaxa lithile, ndisakholelwa ukuba amaxabiso egolide aya kuma eqinile ngaphezu kwe-$2000.” “Kangangeminyaka eli-14, ibhanki ephakathi ibisoloko ithenga i-10% ukuya kwi-20% yemfuno yonyaka. Nanini na xa kukho iimpawu zobuthathaka kumaxabiso egolide, le yinkxaso enkulu, kwaye ndilindele ukuba olu hlobo luqhubeke iminyaka emininzi.”
UMilling Stanley uthe ulindele ukuba naluphi na ukuthengiswa okukhulu kwegolide kuthengwe ngokukhawuleza xa kujongwe ukungaqiniseki koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nokuphazamiseka kwezopolitiko.
Uthe, “Ngokwembono yembali, ukuzibophelela kwegolide kubatyali-mali bekusoloko kunezinto ezimbini. Ngokuhamba kwexesha, kungekhona minyaka le, kodwa ngokuhamba kwexesha, igolide inokunceda ukwandisa imbuyekezo yepotifoliyo yotyalo-mali elinganisiweyo ngokufanelekileyo. Ngalo naliphi na ixesha, igolide iya kunciphisa umngcipheko kunye nokuguquguquka kwipotifoliyo yotyalo-mali elinganisiweyo ngokufanelekileyo.” “Ndilindele ukuba olu kuzinikela luphindwe kabini lwembuyekezo kunye nokhuseleko lutsale abatyali-mali abatsha ngo-2024.”