Ingcali yezentengiso yathi umqondiso ovela kwiFederal Reserve ukuba inzala iya kuthotywa ngo-2024 idale umfutho osempilweni wentengiso yegolide, nto leyo eya kukhokelela kumaxabiso egolide afikelele kumazinga aphezulu embali kunyaka omtsha.
UGeorge Milling Stanley, oyiNtloko yeGold Strategist kwiDow Jones Global Investment Consulting, uthe nangona ixabiso legolide lisanda kunyuka, kusekho indawo eninzi yokukhula kweemarike.
Uthe, “Xa igolide ifumana amandla, akukho mntu waziyo ukuba izakunyuka kangakanani na, kwaye kulo nyaka uzayo sinokubona ukuphakama kwembali.
Nangona uMilling Stanley enethemba ngegolide, wongezelela ukuba akalindelanga ukuba amaxabiso egolide agqobhoze kwixesha elifutshane.Wabonisa ukuba nangona i-Federal Reserve inethemba lokunciphisa inzala kunyaka ozayo, umbuzo uhlala nini ukutsala i-trigger.Wongezelela ukuba kwixesha elifutshane, imiba yexesha kufuneka igcine amaxabiso egolide phakathi koluhlu lwangoku.
Kuqikelelo olusemthethweni lukaDow Jones, iqela likaMilling Stanley likholelwa ukuba kukho ithuba le-50% lokurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-1950 yeedola kunye ne-2200 yeedola ngonyaka ozayo.Kwangaxeshanye, inkampani ikholelwa ukuba amathuba okurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-2200 yeedola kunye ne-2400 yeedola nge-ounce yi-30%.UDao Fu ukholelwa ukuba kunokwenzeka ukurhweba ngegolide phakathi kwe-$ 1800 kunye ne-$ 1950 nge-ounce enye kuphela i-20%.
UMlling Stanley uthe impilo yezoqoqosho iya kugqiba ukuba liphezulu kangakanani ixabiso legolide.
Uthe, “Imvakalelo yam yeyokuba siza kudlula kwixesha lokukhula okungaphantsi kwendlela, okunokwenzeka ukudodobala koqoqosho.Kodwa kunye nayo, ngokweemetriki ezikhethwa yiFed, kusenokubakho ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuncangathi.Oku kuya kuba yindawo efanelekileyo yegolide. ""Ukuba kukho ukudodobala okukhulu kwezoqoqosho, izizathu zethu zokunyuka ziya kusebenza."
Nangona kulindeleke ukuba amandla aphezulu egolide anokutsala abatyali-mali abatsha, uMilling Stanley uthe ukuxhaswa kwexesha elide legolide kubonisa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso egolide kuya kuqhubeka ngo-2024.
Uthe iingxabano ezimbini eziqhubekayo ziya kugcina indawo ekhuselekileyo yokuthenga igolide.Wongeze ukuba unyaka wonyulo ongaqinisekanga kwaye “ombi” uya kwandisa isibheno esikhuselekileyo segolide.Ukwathe imfuno ekhulayo evela eIndiya nakwezinye iimarike ezivelayo ziya kubonelela ngenkxaso yegolide ebonakalayo.
Ukuthengwa okuthe vetshe kwegolide ziibhanki ezingoovimba zamazwe ahlukeneyo kuya kwandisa imodeli entsha yokutshintsha kwimarike.
Wathi, “Kunengqiqo ukuthatha ingeniso xa amaxabiso egolide edlula iidola ezingama-2000 ngeponti nganye kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo, kwaye ndicinga ukuba yiloo nto ngokuyinxenye amaxabiso egolide anokuthi ngamanye amaxesha ehle ngaphantsi kweedola ezingama-2000 kulo nyaka uzayo.Kodwa ngaxa lithile, ndisakholelwa ukuba amaxabiso egolide ayakuqiniswa ngaphezulu kweedola ezingama-2000.”“Kangangeminyaka eli-14, ibhanki enguvimba ibisoloko ithenga i-10% ukuya kwi-20% yeemfuno zonyaka.Nanini na kukho iimpawu zobuthathaka kumaxabiso egolide, le yinkxaso enkulu, kwaye ndilindele ukuba le meko iqhubeke iminyaka emininzi.”
UMilling Stanley uthe ulindele ukuba nakuphi na ukuthengiswa okubalulekileyo kwegolide kuthengwe ngokukhawuleza xa kujongwa ukungaqiniseki koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nezidubedube zezopolitiko.
Uthe, “Ngokwembono yembali, ukuzibophelela kwegolide kubatyali-mali bekusoloko kunento embaxa-mbili.Ngokuhamba kwexesha, kungekhona minyaka yonke, kodwa ekuhambeni kwexesha, igolide inokunceda ukwandisa imbuyekezo yepotfoliyo yotyalo-mali elinganayo.Ngalo naliphi na ixesha, igolide iya kunciphisa umngcipheko kunye nokuguquguquka kwipotifoliyo yotyalo-mali elungelelanisiweyo. ""Ndilindele oku kuzibophelela kubini kwembuyekezo kunye nokhuseleko ukutsala abatyali mali abatsha ngo-2024."
Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-15-2023
